the AntiPusher said:
This is one time that I can honestly say that either player is playing excellent tennis during this event but Rafa has looked closer to form to date. The key to the match as i alluded to earlier this week is Rafa 1st serve percentage which has been at a poor WTA level as effectiveness and his return of serve has been even poorer. Djoker game has been subpar this week and he has been the beneficiary of a very favorable draw due to all the upset of the top ten players in his half of the draw. That being said, I am still picking Rafa in 2 sets because mentally Rafa has to compete at his very best, the horrors of the 2011 -2012 7 straight final loses still is very fresh in his memory. Tomi will have him ready. Trust me on this one.
I agree that Rafa has looked much closer to form, and where he got tested was arguably by better players, playing well. (Dimitrov particularly played at a very high level for two sets.) Novak's last 2 matches don't tell us much, given the nature of his opponents, either about his form or his ankle. However, they could well have done much for the confidence.
Weather looks to be a neutral factor: not likely to rain, not cold or hot, and not much wind.
It's Rafa and Nole, so the stakes are high, and they'll both know it. Both need to serve well, move well, and play aggressively. Nadal, especially, as he's mostly been able to get away with keeping it safe, up until now. But he's had good wake up calls in the last two days.
If form holds, I think Rafa wins. Even in 2. He needs to start out fast, which sometimes catches Nole sleeping, a bit. It seems that Novak has been able to work though his ankle problem, and hopefully that's not an issue. Nadal's knee is in recovery, and what he's re-finding is form. I'm pretty sure they'll both throw everything at it, tomorrow.
Could be another classic!